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Who should digg sell to: Newscorp, Microsoft, or Google?

3/7/2008

diggSeems like major congratulations are in order for my friends Jay and Kevin at digg.com. According to TechCrunch, and months of speculation after they hired Allen & Co. to conduct a sale, it seems that digg is going to sell for $200M to Microsoft, Google, or Newscorp.

Folks put digg at around 200m page views from what I understand, so that makes me believe digg is making $1700k-1M a month in revenue. So, for a $10-12M a year business to do a $200M exit is amazing (20x top-line revenue). My guess is a buyer would think they could launch in 5-10 other markets and double the current market size in order to build the site out.

I remember meeting with Kevin Rose when the site was less than six month old to try and get him to sell it to Weblogs, Inc. for a couple of million bucks. Looks like he made the right move huh!? (Something Kevin reminds me of all the time, and I’m sure he will continue to do for some time :-) .

Should they sell to Microsoft, Google, or Newscorp if all the offers were the same? Frankly, any three of those options would work well as each of those companies is getting better are running multiple brands. Newscorp has given MySpace the room to grow, Google’s done an amazing job with YouTube, and Microsoft’s Zune and XBOX groups show they can be hands off.

The biggest surprise in all of this is that Yahoo and AOL didn’t make a strong play for digg a year ago. Those two companies have amazing display advertising businesses that would have been amazing when coupled with digg.

congrats again to Kevin, Jay, and the team… lots of hard work and what looks like an amazing outcome.

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Hello, my name is Jason. Welcome to my blog on the interwebs. You can reach me on twitter @jason and by email at jason@calacanis.com. My Skype is jasoncalacanis, and my mobile phone is 310-456-4900.

I only pick up numbers I recognize, and in terms of emailing me, the best strategy is to write short, blunt and to the point requests. I can quickly respond to short messages, and many times I simply don't have the time to read five page pitches. In terms of taking meetings, I only do that after reviewing an actual product (not a business plan). So, the best time to ping me is when you have mockups or an alpha site. I don't read business plans, and I've never written one.

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