S’all about that dollar and we nuh deal with cowards
Weak lambs get devoured by the lion
In the concrete jungle, the strong stand and rumble
The weak fold and crumble, it’s the land of trouble
– Lil’ Kim, Lighters Up
Exceptional post from exceptional investor and deceivingly brilliant strategist Bill Gurley this week (he speaks simply, but drops knowledge bombs consistently — my kinda VC).
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Bill outlines the dynamics of the unicorn era and the funding dynamics for the founders, employees, VC, angels, mutual funds and LPs invested in these high flyers — and in some cases — “die-ers.” Go read it and take some notes in case you are lucky enough to invest in, work for or create one of these high flyers.
In this post, I want to talk about the new rules for aspiring unicorns which I will call “lambs” in this piece because, sadly, many founders out there have been softened by market conditions and are going to be slaughtered and eaten. Apologies if you cry at trees being cut down, and don’t like the graphic nature of the metaphor, but startups before their A round — which is where I operate — are a high mortality business. Eight of 10 startups angels invest in, in my experience, are a donut (zero dollars returned).
The mortality rate shouldn’t actually be that high, but an environment as frothy and freewheeling as the one we have experienced these past three years has lead first-time founders to a level of entitlement that makes an episode of HBO’s GIRLS, filled with the worst decision making since an installment of Friday the 13th, seem decisively well thought out.
In selecting startups for the LAUNCH Incubator we look for lions, not lambs. We want predatory founders that want to eat what they kill, sharpen their claws and be feared by the rest of the jungle.